01What AI actually changes
- Cost of persuasion falls. A fluent phishing message in any language, tailored to a target's job, no longer needs a skilled writer. Voice and video can be cloned too: see deepfake fraud.
- Cost of reconnaissance falls. Finding which companies run a vulnerable product, reading its documentation and drafting a working attack against it is the kind of grind AI tools speed up.
- Speed rises. Once inside, attackers move to other systems faster. CrowdStrike's 2026 Global Threat Report, published 24 February 2026, puts the average time from first access to moving sideways at 29 minutes, with the fastest observed at 27 seconds (CrowdStrike's own data on 2025 activity).
- Fewer fingerprints. The same report says 82% of 2025 detections were malware-free, meaning attackers used stolen logins and legitimate tools rather than code a scanner can flag.
02The numbers: what to trust
CrowdStrike reports an 89% year-on-year increase in operations by AI-enabled adversaries in 2025. That is the company's measurement of its tracked adversaries (it follows 281), not of every attacker. Be wary of the larger numbers that circulate online (phishing “up 1,265%”, “82% of phishing emails are AI-written”): the ones we found trace to aggregator blogs rather than a primary study, so we do not repeat them. A good rule: if a statistic has no named study, sample and date, it is not evidence.
03The first disclosed AI-run espionage campaign
In November 2025 Anthropic published a report on a campaign it attributed to a Chinese state-sponsored group, tracked as GTG-1002, that used its Claude Code tool to attack about 30 organisations including technology firms, financial institutions, chemical manufacturers and government agencies. Anthropic said the AI performed 80–90% of the tactical work, with humans stepping in at a handful of decision points, and that the attackers succeeded in a small number of cases. The Register reported the same.
It was disputed. Critics noted that the report published no indicators of compromise, so defenders could not check whether they were targets, and that the model sometimes overstated what it had achieved. Treat it as a credible, company-reported early example of attackers wiring an AI agent into the attack chain, not as proof of how widespread it is. The same idea underlies agentic AI in general: software that plans and acts through tools. It is as useful to an attacker as to anyone else.
04AI works for defenders too
The same speed that helps attackers helps those who patch, triage alerts and read logs. The practical risk is the gap: attackers can adopt AI immediately; most organisations take months to patch or review a device. That gap is exactly the one the supermarket fridge attacks exposed. Belgium's Centre for Cybersecurity said after them that “all IT systems are potentially vulnerable, and AI can now be used to successfully exploit these weaknesses”. The response is dull and effective: shrink the time between a flaw being known and being closed, and remove what does not need to be on the internet.
Teams building their own AI agents should apply the same logic to their own tools: least-privilege credentials and a human sign-off for irreversible actions, as covered in AI agents and Payaries.
05Sources
- 2026 CrowdStrike Global Threat Report: AI accelerates adversaries and reshapes the attack surface — CrowdStrike
- Chinese spies told Claude to break into about 30 critical orgs. Some attacks succeeded — The Register (13 Nov 2025)
- Anthropic uncovers first large scale AI-orchestrated cyberattack targeting 30 organizations — The Decoder
- New cyberattack on supermarket fridges sweeps across Europe — CNBC
Questions
- Are cyberattacks increasing because of AI?
- Vendors report AI-enabled activity rising sharply (CrowdStrike: +89% in 2025 among the adversaries it tracks) and attacks moving faster, but exact totals depend on what each company measures. AI mostly makes existing attacks cheaper and quicker rather than creating new categories.
- What was the Anthropic GTG-1002 report?
- In November 2025 Anthropic disclosed a campaign by a suspected Chinese state-sponsored group that used Claude Code to attack about 30 organisations, with AI doing most of the tactical work by Anthropic's account. Some security researchers questioned the 80–90% figure and the lack of published indicators.
- Can AI find security flaws automatically?
- AI tools can speed up finding and exploiting known weaknesses, which is why officials such as Belgium's Centre for Cybersecurity warn that exposed systems will be found sooner. The defender's countermeasure is to patch faster and remove unnecessary exposure.
Keep reading
- What is agentic AI? A plain-English guideWhat agentic AI is: AI that plans, uses tools and checks results to reach a goal. How it differs from a chatbot, how it works, the risks, and how agents pay.
- Build a crypto payment integration with an AI agent, safelyEverything an AI agent or coding assistant needs to integrate Payaries: an OpenAPI spec, llms.txt, markdown docs, signing test vectors and the rules for handling real funds safely.
- Deepfake fraud: what happens when a video call can be fakedHow deepfake video and voice cloning are used to steal money, from Arup's $25 million Hong Kong video-call fraud to cloned voices. How it works and how to verify.
- Someone is hacking supermarket fridges: what we know about the attacks across EuropeHackers pushed supermarket fridges and freezers to 50°C in France in October and across Belgium, Sweden, Ireland and Estonia on 2 November 2026. What happened, how, and why it matters.
- What Big Tech actually wants from AI regulation: one rulebook, not noneBig Tech's 2026 AI regulation ask is one national rulebook that overrides state laws, not more rules. The White House framework, lobbying money, the EU delay.
- How to defend against cyberattacks: the checklist that matches how attacks actually happenA short, evidence-based defence checklist for a business or shop: exposure, patching, MFA, backups, verification, supplier risk and payment controls, drawn from real 2024–2026 incidents.
- Why everything with a network cable ends up hacked: IoT and OT explainedWhy fridges, cameras and factory controllers keep getting hacked: they were built to work, not to be attacked. Mirai, exposed controllers and edge devices, explained.