Explainer

The ransomware economy: how crime became a business, and what crypto has to do with it

Ransomware is not a lone hacker. It is a supply chain: developers rent out the malware, “affiliates” run the attacks, brokers sell access, and negotiators haggle. More attacks, smaller share paid, bigger demands. This explains the shape, and gives crypto its fair place in the story: a payment rail criminals use, and one that leaves a public trail.

Updated · 2 min read

01How the business works

  • Ransomware as a service. Developers write and maintain the malware and take a cut; affiliates carry out intrusions.
  • Initial access brokers sell footholds in companies, often stolen logins, so attackers skip the hard first step.
  • Double extortion. Data is stolen before encryption, then the victim is threatened with publication on a leak site, so restoring from backups no longer ends the problem.
  • Pressure timed to hurt. Retailers and manufacturers lose money by the day when stopped, as the 2025 UK retail attacks showed.

02The numbers

Measure20242025
On-chain ransomware payments (Chainalysis)About $892m (revised)About $820m, down roughly 8%; could rise to about $900m as cases are attributed
Leak-site eventsn/aNearly 8,000, a 50% increase
Median payment$12,738$59,556

More attacks, fewer and larger payments. The likeliest reading: more victims are refusing to pay, and attackers are pushing harder on those who can. Food and agriculture are a visible target: Food and Ag-ISAC counted 227 ransomware incidents in the sector in the first seven months of 2026, up 62%, per TIME.

03Where crypto fits, honestly

Criminals use crypto because it is fast, cross-border and needs no bank. Colonial Pipeline's 2021 ransom was paid in bitcoin. But public blockchains record every transfer permanently, and the FBI recovered about $2.3 million of Colonial's payment. Blockchain analysis firms such as Chainalysis publish the figures above precisely because the trail exists. Crypto is a tool, like cash or wire transfers, used by criminals and by legitimate businesses. See what is cryptocurrency.

A related lesson from the Binance hack: the same technology that makes payments instant also makes security failures instant. Controls such as withdrawal limits, signed requests and reconciliation matter more, not less.

04Sources

Questions

How much was paid in ransomware in 2025?
Chainalysis estimated about $820 million in on-chain ransomware payments in 2025, down about 8% from a revised $892 million in 2024, though attacks claimed on leak sites rose about 50% to nearly 8,000 and the median payment rose to about $59,556.
What is ransomware as a service?
A business model in which developers rent out ransomware to affiliates who run the attacks and share the proceeds, lowering the skill needed to attack.
Are the supermarket fridge attacks ransomware?
Not as reported: no ransom demand or file encryption has been described, only remote manipulation of refrigeration controllers. See our analysis.
Does crypto make ransomware untraceable?
No. Public blockchains record transfers permanently, and investigators including the FBI have traced and recovered ransom payments, as in the Colonial Pipeline case.

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